Eastleigh vs Bashley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.5%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
10.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eastleigh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
MAI
1 - 4
EAS
47%
24%
29%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
WEL
3 - 2
EAS
35%
26%
39%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
EAS
2 - 1
HAM
28%
26%
47%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2008 |
EAS
0 - 1
DOR
73%
17%
10%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
EAS
3 - 3
HAY
50%
24%
27%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
BAS
1 - 3
MER
37%
25%
37%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2008 |
BAS
2 - 2
SWI
42%
25%
33%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
YAT
1 - 3
BAS
59%
21%
20%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
BAS
0 - 3
TIV
52%
24%
24%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -2 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
MAN
0 - 2
BAS
50%
25%
25%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +2 |