Easthouses Lily vs Penicuik Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.7%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
75.7%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
16%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.6%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.8%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Easthouses Lily
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
EAS
0 - 4
DUN
65%
18%
17%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
MUS
5 - 0
EAS
72%
15%
13%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -4 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
HAW
0 - 4
EAS
8%
13%
80%
|
30 | 12 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
OAK
1 - 3
EAS
17%
18%
66%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
EAS
1 - 4
PEE
82%
11%
7%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Penicuik Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
PEN
4 - 2
BLU
89%
9%
3%
|
50 | 19 | 31 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2019 |
PEN
4 - 0
DUN
86%
10%
3%
|
51 | 25 | 26 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
PEN
1 - 1
DUN
87%
10%
3%
|
52 | 25 | 27 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2019 |
PEN
3 - 0
PEE
88%
9%
3%
|
52 | 20 | 32 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
PEN
2 - 1
OAK
89%
9%
2%
|
53 | 20 | 33 | -1 |