Eastern Suburbs II vs Auckland United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.9%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
63.9%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.4%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eastern Suburbs II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2020 |
FHM
2 - 0
ESU
38%
22%
40%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2020 |
CEN
0 - 2
ESU
89%
9%
2%
|
27 | 58 | 31 | +2 |
| 11 Jul. 2020 |
ESU
2 - 3
BIR
12%
19%
70%
|
28 | 49 | 21 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2020 |
NSH
0 - 5
ESU
85%
10%
5%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | +2 |
| 27 Jun. 2020 |
ESU
3 - 2
MEL
19%
19%
62%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Auckland United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2020 |
AFC
1 - 1
CEN
18%
23%
59%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2020 |
BIR
1 - 1
AFC
66%
19%
15%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2020 |
AFC
2 - 1
NSH
43%
24%
34%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +2 |
| 04 Jul. 2020 |
MEL
1 - 3
AFC
39%
21%
40%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2020 |
AFC
2 - 1
WES
47%
24%
30%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |