Eastern Suburbs Brisbane vs Univ. Queensland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.8%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
14.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+169%
+55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eastern Suburbs Brisbane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2011 |
EAS
3 - 4
TAR
66%
19%
15%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2011 |
UNI
2 - 3
EAS
27%
23%
51%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
BRI
2 - 0
EAS
34%
23%
43%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
WOL
3 - 1
EAS
76%
14%
10%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
EAS
0 - 2
WOL
26%
25%
50%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Univ. Queensland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2011 |
PIN
1 - 1
UNI
32%
24%
45%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2011 |
UNI
2 - 3
EAS
27%
23%
51%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
UNI
0 - 2
ROC
15%
20%
65%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
UNI
2 - 0
MGH
52%
22%
26%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
MGH
1 - 5
UNI
50%
23%
28%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +2 |