Eastern Suburbs Brisbane vs Logan Lightning analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.9%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
16.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+220%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eastern Suburbs Brisbane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
MOR
3 - 1
EAS
60%
19%
21%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
BRR
3 - 6
EAS
60%
20%
21%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +2 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
BRI
2 - 1
EAS
35%
22%
42%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
EAS
2 - 2
SUN
23%
20%
58%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
OLY
1 - 1
EAS
80%
14%
6%
|
26 | 47 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Logan Lightning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
LOG
0 - 3
SUN
16%
17%
67%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
LOG
0 - 3
PEN
15%
18%
67%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
CAP
2 - 2
LOG
38%
22%
40%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
LOG
0 - 4
GCK
21%
21%
58%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
LOG
4 - 3
MOR
27%
22%
51%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +1 |