Eastern Suburbs Brisbane vs Logan Lightning analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.1%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
16.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eastern Suburbs Brisbane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
ROC
0 - 0
EAS
44%
23%
33%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
EAS
0 - 2
WOL
19%
21%
61%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
IPS
1 - 3
EAS
30%
23%
47%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
EAS
2 - 0
NOR
81%
13%
7%
|
33 | 12 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2014 |
ALB
1 - 2
EAS
28%
23%
49%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Logan Lightning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2014 |
LOG
3 - 2
UNI
86%
10%
4%
|
25 | 12 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
LOG
2 - 0
BRI
79%
13%
8%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
ROC
0 - 1
LOG
71%
16%
13%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
LOG
0 - 3
WOL
12%
16%
72%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2014 |
IPS
2 - 1
LOG
43%
23%
34%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |