Eastern Suburbs Brisbane vs Logan Lightning analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.2%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
14.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eastern Suburbs Brisbane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
WOL
2 - 0
EAS
78%
14%
8%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
EAS
2 - 1
UNI
81%
13%
6%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
ROC
0 - 5
EAS
78%
14%
8%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
PEN
2 - 0
EAS
72%
16%
12%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
RED
3 - 1
EAS
75%
15%
10%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Logan Lightning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2013 |
LOG
1 - 1
CAP
28%
23%
49%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
ROC
2 - 1
LOG
85%
10%
5%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
LOG
2 - 3
IPS
69%
18%
14%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | -1 |