Eastern Suburbs vs Western Suburbs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.6%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.7%
7.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+58%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
3º
9º
9º
4
9º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
20 | 20 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
19 | 19 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 18 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
17 | 17 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 13 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 11 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 11 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 9 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
5 | 5 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
4 | 4 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eastern Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 0
EAS
60%
18%
21%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
EAS
2 - 2
BIR
36%
22%
42%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
COA
2 - 1
EAS
32%
23%
45%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
EAS
0 - 3
AUC
15%
20%
65%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | -2 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
EAS
0 - 1
WES
57%
21%
23%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Western Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
WSU
0 - 4
WES
15%
18%
67%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
WEL
4 - 1
WSU
94%
5%
1%
|
21 | 49 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
WEL
2 - 0
WSU
58%
19%
23%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
WSU
2 - 4
NAP
25%
20%
55%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
WSU
1 - 2
AUC
6%
14%
80%
|
24 | 51 | 27 | -1 |