Eastern Suburbs vs Western Springs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
22.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
3º
9º
9º
18
3º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
20 | 20 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
19 | 19 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
18 | 18 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
17 | 17 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 13 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 11 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 11 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 9 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
5 | 5 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 4 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eastern Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
WEL
4 - 1
EAS
79%
13%
9%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
EAS
2 - 2
NAP
66%
18%
16%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
WEL
0 - 2
EAS
20%
20%
61%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
EAS
1 - 2
AFC
70%
18%
13%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
HAW
0 - 0
EAS
16%
19%
65%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Western Springs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
WES
1 - 3
BIR
53%
20%
27%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
WES
6 - 2
COA
65%
18%
18%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
NAP
4 - 0
WES
27%
21%
52%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
WES
2 - 1
HAW
79%
13%
8%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
WCR
2 - 2
WES
15%
17%
68%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | -1 |