Eastern Suburbs vs Wellington Phoenix II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
15.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eastern Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
EAS
1 - 1
AUC
38%
27%
34%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
CAN
1 - 0
EAS
31%
26%
44%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
EAS
1 - 2
HAW
67%
20%
14%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
HAW
1 - 2
EAS
24%
25%
51%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
EAS
1 - 1
TEA
34%
26%
40%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Wellington Phoenix II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
TEA
5 - 2
WEL
78%
14%
8%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
WEL
1 - 1
WAI
42%
23%
35%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
WEL
1 - 1
CAN
47%
23%
30%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
AUC
4 - 1
WEL
77%
15%
8%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
WEL
3 - 0
HAW
60%
19%
21%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |