Eastern Suburbs vs Team Wellington analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
37.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eastern Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
EAS
2 - 0
SOU
64%
21%
15%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
WAI
0 - 2
EAS
54%
23%
23%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
EAS
2 - 2
WEL
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
TAS
2 - 2
EAS
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
CAN
3 - 2
EAS
41%
27%
32%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Team Wellington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
TEA
4 - 1
WEL
71%
17%
12%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
TEA
0 - 0
SOU
78%
14%
8%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
TEA
2 - 0
CAN
66%
18%
16%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
WAI
2 - 1
TEA
34%
23%
42%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
HAW
1 - 3
TEA
18%
22%
59%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | +1 |