Eastern Suburbs vs Petone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.3%
Win probability
3.16
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.8%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.3%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.3%
5.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
4º
8º
4º
1
9º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
21 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
20 | 20 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 16 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
15 | 15 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 13 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 13 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 12 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eastern Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
AFC
1 - 1
EAS
40%
24%
36%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
EAS
0 - 1
CHR
51%
23%
26%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
EAS
2 - 2
AFC
61%
21%
18%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
EAS
2 - 1
WCR
80%
14%
6%
|
48 | 25 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
BIR
0 - 2
EAS
25%
24%
51%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Petone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
PET
1 - 5
CAS
10%
13%
77%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
NAP
3 - 0
PET
73%
15%
13%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
PET
2 - 1
STO
53%
20%
27%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
WKA
4 - 3
PET
54%
20%
26%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
PET
3 - 0
NWA
84%
10%
6%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | 0 |