Eastern Suburbs vs Northern AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
91%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
4.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
4.8%
5-0
8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
9.5%
4-0
12.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.5%
3-0
16.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.7%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.7%
7.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
3.1%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
0.1%
0
7.1%
1.8%
Win probability
0.32
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.6%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eastern Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
BIR
2 - 1
EAS
19%
22%
59%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
EAS
0 - 0
MUF
89%
8%
3%
|
57 | 29 | 28 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
NSH
3 - 4
EAS
18%
22%
60%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
EAS
1 - 0
BAO
86%
10%
4%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
EAS
1 - 1
WES
87%
9%
4%
|
58 | 35 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Northern AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
NAF
1 - 1
MUF
13%
17%
70%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
BAO
3 - 1
NAF
87%
9%
4%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
AFC
6 - 3
NAF
88%
8%
3%
|
17 | 43 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
NAF
0 - 3
WNK
30%
21%
50%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2021 |
AUC
2 - 1
NAF
88%
8%
3%
|
18 | 68 | 50 | 0 |