Eastern Suburbs vs Manurewa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.8%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.8%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.3%
8.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
2º
11º
3º
19
3º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
2º
|
78% | |
|
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
78% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 25 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eastern Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
EAS
4 - 3
TCU
25%
23%
52%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
ECB
1 - 3
EAS
19%
19%
62%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
AUC
1 - 0
EAS
72%
16%
12%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
BAO
2 - 1
EAS
13%
16%
71%
|
47 | 21 | 26 | -2 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
EAS
5 - 1
CAS
53%
22%
25%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Manurewa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
MAN
7 - 1
MEL
45%
22%
34%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
WCR
2 - 2
MAN
40%
22%
39%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 2
WES
25%
20%
54%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
ECB
0 - 3
MAN
56%
19%
24%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
AUC
2 - 0
MAN
82%
11%
7%
|
28 | 51 | 23 | 0 |