Eastern Suburbs vs Manurewa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.2%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.2%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.8%
8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
4º
8º
4º
13
4º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
21 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
20 | 20 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 16 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
15 | 15 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 13 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
13 | 13 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 12 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eastern Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
WEL
3 - 5
EAS
39%
24%
37%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
EAS
1 - 2
AUC
21%
22%
57%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
WEL
2 - 2
EAS
71%
16%
13%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
EAS
1 - 1
PET
84%
10%
5%
|
46 | 22 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
AFC
1 - 1
EAS
40%
24%
36%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Manurewa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
MAN
5 - 3
CAS
9%
13%
78%
|
23 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
NAP
0 - 1
MAN
77%
13%
10%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
CHR
1 - 2
MAN
86%
10%
5%
|
22 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
MAN
4 - 6
WEL
11%
15%
74%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
AUC
1 - 0
MAN
89%
8%
3%
|
23 | 54 | 31 | 0 |