Eastern Suburbs vs Hamilton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.4%
Win probability
3.1
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.1%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.8%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.3%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.5%
4%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
2º
11º
3º
14
6º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
2º
|
78% | |
|
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
78% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 25 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eastern Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
WES
1 - 1
EAS
44%
24%
33%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
WCR
0 - 1
EAS
14%
17%
68%
|
45 | 22 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
EAS
1 - 4
BIR
69%
18%
13%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
MEL
0 - 4
EAS
11%
17%
72%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
AFC
0 - 1
EAS
28%
24%
48%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Hamilton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
TCU
1 - 0
HAW
77%
15%
9%
|
21 | 52 | 31 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
HAW
1 - 4
BIR
18%
18%
64%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
MAN
2 - 1
HAW
57%
19%
24%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
HAW
1 - 5
BAO
57%
20%
23%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -2 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
HAW
2 - 4
WES
24%
20%
56%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | -2 |