Eastern Suburbs vs Bay Olympic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.7%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.3%
5%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
2º
4º
2º
12
5º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
12 | 15 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 15 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eastern Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
TAK
2 - 5
EAS
8%
13%
79%
|
49 | 20 | 29 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
EAS
2 - 2
AUC
23%
24%
53%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
WEL
2 - 3
EAS
64%
19%
18%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
EAS
1 - 0
MUF
88%
8%
4%
|
48 | 22 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 3
EAS
8%
13%
79%
|
48 | 22 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Bay Olympic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
BAO
1 - 1
MEL
19%
19%
62%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
AFC
4 - 1
BAO
87%
9%
4%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
BAO
4 - 2
WCR
60%
19%
21%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
BIR
3 - 0
BAO
90%
7%
3%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2023 |
WES
3 - 1
BAO
79%
13%
9%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |