Eastern Suburbs vs Auckland United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.7%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
12.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
2º
11º
3º
40
4º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
2º
|
78% | |
|
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
78% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 25 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eastern Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
HAW
0 - 0
EAS
16%
19%
65%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
EAS
1 - 2
WES
56%
22%
22%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
TCU
1 - 5
EAS
44%
24%
32%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
MAN
0 - 3
EAS
19%
19%
62%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
EAS
2 - 0
WCR
81%
12%
7%
|
43 | 20 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Auckland United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
AFC
3 - 2
BAO
76%
15%
10%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 3
AFC
30%
22%
48%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
AFC
2 - 4
BIR
30%
21%
49%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -2 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
ECB
1 - 1
AFC
36%
22%
42%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
AFC
1 - 0
MEL
73%
15%
11%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |