Eastern Suburbs vs Auckland II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.1%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.9%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.9%
4-0
9%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.4%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
10%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10%
4.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+560%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
2º
10º
6º
17
8º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 48 |
1º
|
73.5% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 44 |
2º
|
44% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 41 |
3º
|
35% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 37 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 37 |
5º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
30 | 37 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 34 |
7º
|
52.5% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 26 |
8º
|
92.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
17 | 20 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 20 |
10º
|
24.5% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 16 |
11º
|
37% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 15 |
12º
|
71% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
49.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
50.5% | 73.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 26.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eastern Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
MUF
1 - 3
EAS
20%
19%
61%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
AFC
1 - 2
EAS
45%
22%
33%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
EAS
4 - 1
TCU
55%
20%
25%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
EAS
5 - 2
TCU
41%
22%
37%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
EAS
3 - 3
BAO
72%
17%
11%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Auckland II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
ECB
2 - 1
AUC
85%
10%
6%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
AUC
1 - 2
AFC
13%
18%
69%
|
16 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
AUC
2 - 3
FEN
31%
21%
47%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2025 |
TCU
3 - 0
AUC
88%
8%
4%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2025 |
BIR
2 - 0
AUC
88%
8%
4%
|
16 | 44 | 28 | 0 |