Eastern Suburbs vs Auckland City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
27.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eastern Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
HAW
3 - 5
EAS
23%
27%
51%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
EAS
2 - 1
TEA
36%
26%
38%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
EAS
2 - 0
SOU
64%
21%
15%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
WAI
0 - 2
EAS
54%
23%
23%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
EAS
2 - 2
WEL
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Auckland City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
CAN
0 - 2
AUC
43%
25%
32%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
AUC
1 - 1
SOU
75%
16%
9%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
AUC
2 - 2
WAI
59%
21%
21%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
AUC
0 - 3
TAS
65%
20%
15%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2017 |
AJA
1 - 0
AUC
54%
22%
24%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -2 |