East Fife vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
53.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East Fife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1999 |
BRE
1 - 3
EAS
32%
27%
41%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1999 |
EAS
0 - 0
QUE
57%
23%
20%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1999 |
CWB
4 - 0
EAS
34%
27%
39%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
EAS
2 - 0
FOR
57%
22%
21%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1999 |
ALB
1 - 3
EAS
40%
26%
34%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1999 |
DUN
0 - 2
HOM
37%
27%
36%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
HOM
4 - 0
DUN
66%
20%
14%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1999 |
CEL
4 - 0
HOM
66%
20%
14%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 1999 |
HOM
3 - 0
ABE
71%
18%
12%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 1999 |
QOS
1 - 3
HOM
25%
25%
50%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |