E Esperanza A vs E.F. Molina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.2%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
24.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
E Esperanza A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
CEF
1 - 1
ESP
38%
22%
40%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
ESP
8 - 2
CFS
11%
15%
74%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | +3 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
CDT
2 - 3
ESP
30%
22%
49%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
E.F. Molina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
MAM
3 - 1
CEF
45%
22%
34%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
CFS
0 - 1
MAM
85%
10%
5%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
MAM
6 - 1
CDT
62%
19%
19%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
CLU
3 - 2
MAM
31%
22%
48%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
MAM
4 - 1
ESP
57%
20%
23%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |