DZOH vs Go Ahead analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.7%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
52.1%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
2º
11º
8º
43
5º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 54 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 8 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
DZOH
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
ASV
2 - 1
DZO
56%
20%
25%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
DZO
0 - 0
ACH
45%
22%
33%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
DZO
6 - 1
VVH
36%
22%
43%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
QUI
3 - 0
DZO
93%
5%
2%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
SVZ
4 - 0
DZO
82%
11%
7%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Go Ahead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
GOA
4 - 1
VVH
65%
18%
17%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
SVZ
4 - 3
GOA
69%
16%
15%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
GOA
0 - 2
DOS
57%
19%
24%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
KHC
1 - 1
GOA
43%
23%
34%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
WHC
3 - 1
GOA
63%
19%
18%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |