Dziugas Telsiai vs Kauno Žalgiris analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
56.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
1º
10º
7º
54
3º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dziugas Telsiai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2024 |
FKS
1 - 2
DTE
6%
12%
82%
|
65 | 16 | 49 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
HLI
2 - 1
DTE
71%
19%
11%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
DTE
1 - 1
BAN
37%
28%
36%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SUD
0 - 1
DTE
40%
29%
31%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
FKS
2 - 5
DTE
6%
13%
81%
|
64 | 10 | 54 | 0 |
Matches
Kauno Žalgiris
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2024 |
FKN
0 - 7
KZA
3%
9%
88%
|
78 | 13 | 65 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
PAN
0 - 0
KZA
35%
27%
39%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
ZAL
1 - 0
KZA
43%
25%
32%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
KZA
2 - 1
FAS
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2024 |
GKA
0 - 5
KZA
5%
11%
84%
|
77 | 52 | 25 | +1 |