Dziugas Telsiai vs Kauno Žalgiris analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.5%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.1%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
68.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.5%
0-2
15.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
5º
10º
9º
59
2º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 87 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dziugas Telsiai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 6
DTE
10%
15%
75%
|
53 | 29 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
SUD
1 - 0
DTE
60%
24%
16%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
TRA
1 - 1
DTE
58%
24%
18%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
DTE
1 - 2
BAN
40%
27%
33%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2023 |
SIL
0 - 5
DTE
9%
16%
75%
|
54 | 31 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Kauno Žalgiris
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2023 |
KZA
0 - 0
BAN
70%
20%
10%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
KZA
3 - 0
ZAL
32%
25%
43%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
KZA
1 - 0
DAI
63%
22%
14%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
ZAL
2 - 1
KZA
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2023 |
FKD
0 - 6
KZA
4%
10%
87%
|
73 | 12 | 61 | 0 |