Dynamo Dresden U19 vs Erzgebirge Aue U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.4%
25.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
1º
7º
7º
14
1º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
23 | 23 |
1º
|
62.5% | |
|
2º
|
22 | 22 |
2º
|
41.5% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 22 |
3º
|
41.5% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 20 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 17 |
5º
|
40.5% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 16 |
6º
|
2.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
15 | 16 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
|
8º
|
14 | 15 |
8º
|
53.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dynamo Dresden U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
HER
2 - 2
DDR
75%
15%
11%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
HAL
2 - 4
DDR
36%
23%
41%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
DDR
3 - 0
CZJ
66%
19%
16%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
COT
1 - 1
DDR
41%
23%
35%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
DDR
1 - 1
CHE
67%
18%
15%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ERA
0 - 1
HAL
57%
20%
24%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CHE
2 - 4
ERA
45%
21%
34%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
ERA
0 - 2
LEI
35%
22%
43%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
CZJ
4 - 1
ERA
25%
20%
55%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | -2 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
COT
2 - 1
ERA
33%
22%
45%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -1 |