DVS'33 vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.1%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
74.6%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.6%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.2%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
DVS'33
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
DOV
0 - 1
DVS
27%
21%
53%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
ODI
3 - 2
DVS
42%
24%
34%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
DVS
2 - 2
VVS
67%
18%
15%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
STE
3 - 0
DVS
27%
24%
49%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
DVS
0 - 1
EXC
68%
19%
14%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
GRO
1 - 0
WIL
36%
26%
38%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
WIL
2 - 1
VVV
54%
23%
23%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
PSV
3 - 0
WIL
66%
19%
14%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
WIL
1 - 3
VIT
28%
25%
47%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
ZWO
0 - 0
WIL
35%
24%
41%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |