Dve Mogili vs Provadia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.1%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
8.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dve Mogili
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
HIM
0 - 3
DVE
11%
20%
68%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
DVE
1 - 2
SEP
44%
25%
32%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -2 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
VEL
1 - 2
DVE
37%
25%
38%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
DVE
3 - 0
ARR
64%
19%
17%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
BEL
3 - 0
DVE
54%
22%
24%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Provadia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2013 |
DUN
3 - 0
PRO
83%
12%
5%
|
21 | 52 | 31 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
PRO
1 - 2
KUB
24%
23%
53%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
CHE
2 - 0
PRO
72%
17%
11%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
SUV
2 - 0
PRO
81%
12%
6%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
PRO
3 - 0
HIM
58%
21%
22%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |