Dve Mogili vs Kaliakra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5.7%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.5%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.3%
81%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
15.1%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23%
0-3
12.7%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
17.6%
0-4
8.1%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
10.5%
0-5
4.1%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.1%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dve Mogili
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
MAR
3 - 0
DVE
70%
17%
14%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
DVE
0 - 3
SEP
29%
25%
47%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
PLA
3 - 0
DVE
63%
19%
18%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
DVE
0 - 3
BOT
26%
23%
52%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CHE
3 - 0
DVE
89%
8%
3%
|
19 | 45 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Kaliakra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
KAL
3 - 0
BEN
86%
10%
4%
|
45 | 22 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
KUB
2 - 2
KAL
5%
14%
81%
|
46 | 21 | 25 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
KAL
3 - 1
SVE
76%
15%
9%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
SHU
2 - 2
KAL
9%
14%
77%
|
46 | 22 | 24 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
KAL
3 - 0
TIC
84%
11%
6%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | +1 |