Dve Mogili vs Chernomorets Byala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.5%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
12.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dve Mogili
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
BOT
0 - 5
DVE
18%
24%
59%
|
40 | 19 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
DVE
1 - 1
BEL
65%
19%
16%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
CHE
0 - 1
DVE
63%
22%
16%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
DVE
1 - 2
SUV
60%
21%
19%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
DVE
2 - 2
SHU
23%
25%
53%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Chernomorets Byala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
CHE
1 - 1
RAS
35%
25%
40%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
LOK
2 - 1
CHE
33%
25%
43%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
CHE
0 - 1
CHE
58%
22%
21%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
SHU
5 - 1
CHE
82%
13%
5%
|
33 | 57 | 24 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
CHE
2 - 0
HIM
76%
15%
9%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |