Dürrenast vs Langnau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.3%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
13.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dürrenast
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
TPA
2 - 0
DUR
35%
22%
43%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
DUR
5 - 2
FCE
73%
16%
11%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
FCK
1 - 1
DUR
61%
20%
19%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
DUR
2 - 1
POR
39%
23%
38%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
SEC
1 - 2
DUR
50%
23%
28%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Langnau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2012 |
FCL
1 - 6
LAU
16%
21%
64%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
FCE
2 - 3
FCL
38%
24%
38%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
FCL
1 - 1
TPA
39%
23%
38%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
FCL
0 - 2
FCK
20%
22%
59%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
POR
0 - 0
FCL
72%
17%
12%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |