Dürrenast vs FC Koniz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.5%
1-0
5%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.9%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
67.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dürrenast
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
FCK
3 - 2
DUR
63%
20%
17%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
DUR
0 - 2
POR
53%
23%
25%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
DUR
2 - 3
BUM
57%
22%
22%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
GUM
4 - 1
DUR
40%
25%
35%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2009 |
DUR
2 - 0
THU
19%
22%
59%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
FC Koniz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
FCK
3 - 2
THU
75%
16%
9%
|
49 | 27 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
FCK
2 - 2
FCK
13%
21%
66%
|
50 | 20 | 30 | -1 |