Dürrenast vs Kerzers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
39.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dürrenast
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
POR
0 - 4
DUR
36%
24%
41%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
TPA
3 - 4
DUR
64%
19%
18%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
DUR
0 - 3
LYS
45%
24%
31%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
BER
1 - 0
DUR
52%
23%
25%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
DUR
3 - 0
LER
34%
25%
42%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Kerzers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
POR
3 - 5
FCK
31%
24%
45%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
FCK
4 - 0
TPA
40%
24%
36%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
LYS
0 - 2
FCK
58%
21%
22%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
FCK
1 - 1
BER
42%
24%
34%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
LER
1 - 1
FCK
59%
21%
20%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |