Durham City vs Radcliffe Borough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
32.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
DUR
0 - 1
WAK
51%
23%
26%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
PRE
0 - 1
DUR
40%
23%
37%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2011 |
GAR
2 - 1
DUR
52%
21%
27%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
DUR
3 - 4
TRA
54%
21%
25%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2011 |
WIT
1 - 1
DUR
61%
20%
19%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Radcliffe Borough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
OSS
1 - 1
RAD
20%
22%
58%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
RAD
2 - 2
SKE
18%
22%
60%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2011 |
RAD
3 - 3
FAR
27%
25%
48%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | +2 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
CUR
1 - 0
RAD
72%
17%
11%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2011 |
RAD
1 - 0
WAR
29%
24%
48%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +3 |