Durham City vs Harrogate Railway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.9%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.3%
10.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
RAD
3 - 2
DUR
24%
23%
53%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
DUR
7 - 1
WAR
40%
23%
36%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +3 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
WIT
4 - 1
DUR
72%
17%
11%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
DUR
1 - 3
CUR
29%
24%
47%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
SAL
3 - 0
DUR
53%
22%
25%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Harrogate Railway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
HAR
3 - 3
CUR
14%
21%
64%
|
22 | 49 | 27 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
SAL
1 - 4
HAR
76%
15%
9%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | +2 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
HAR
0 - 4
WOS
13%
20%
67%
|
21 | 43 | 22 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
HAR
1 - 6
WIT
12%
20%
68%
|
23 | 48 | 25 | -2 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
BAM
3 - 2
HAR
68%
18%
15%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |