Durazno FC vs Sud América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
18.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durazno FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
JUV
5 - 1
DUR
55%
23%
21%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
DUR
1 - 5
CSM
37%
27%
37%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
BVS
3 - 1
DUR
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
DUR
1 - 1
DEP
60%
23%
17%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
DUR
1 - 1
PRO
32%
25%
43%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Sud América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
SUD
1 - 1
BOS
49%
26%
25%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
SUD
0 - 1
ETS
38%
28%
34%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
PLA
2 - 3
SUD
46%
27%
27%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
BVS
1 - 0
SUD
63%
22%
15%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
SUD
1 - 0
JUV
38%
29%
33%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |