Segunda Uruguay - Clausura Semi-finals
Global 3-0
Durazno FC vs Sud América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
14.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durazno FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
SUD
0 - 1
DUR
39%
27%
34%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
DUR
3 - 3
PLA
65%
21%
14%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
PLA
1 - 2
DUR
39%
27%
34%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
PLA
0 - 3
DUR
44%
26%
30%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
DUR
1 - 0
CSM
40%
27%
33%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sud América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
SUD
0 - 1
DUR
39%
27%
34%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
CSM
1 - 1
SUD
63%
22%
15%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
SUD
3 - 2
CSM
34%
29%
37%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
SUD
2 - 3
CSC
27%
28%
45%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
FEN
1 - 0
SUD
77%
16%
7%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |