Durazno FC vs Sud América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
18.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durazno FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
DUR
1 - 0
CSC
37%
27%
36%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
DUR
3 - 1
BAS
45%
26%
29%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
PLA
0 - 2
DUR
38%
26%
36%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2007 |
DUR
0 - 0
LUZ
59%
22%
18%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
CSC
3 - 3
DUR
63%
22%
15%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Sud América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
SUD
2 - 3
ROC
35%
27%
38%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
RAC
1 - 0
SUD
71%
18%
11%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | -2 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
CSY
1 - 3
SUD
63%
21%
16%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +2 |
| 27 Nov. 2007 |
SUD
0 - 0
CSC
28%
28%
45%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
SUD
2 - 1
DEP
38%
29%
34%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |