Durazno FC vs Cerro Largo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
42.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durazno FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
PLA
3 - 1
DUR
38%
26%
36%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
DUR
1 - 2
DEP
45%
26%
28%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
DUR
2 - 2
SUD
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
JUV
0 - 2
DUR
65%
20%
15%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
DUR
2 - 0
ROC
43%
25%
32%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Cerro Largo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
CEL
2 - 2
BOS
60%
24%
16%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
CEL
3 - 0
ROC
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
CEL
0 - 0
DEP
57%
25%
18%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
SUD
0 - 2
CEL
34%
27%
39%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
CSC
1 - 1
CEL
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |