Durazno FC vs Basáñez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
31.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durazno FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
SUD
1 - 1
DUR
60%
23%
18%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2006 |
DUR
5 - 2
PAY
44%
25%
32%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
PLA
0 - 1
DUR
53%
25%
23%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
DUR
2 - 4
CEL
24%
26%
50%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2006 |
DUR
2 - 3
UMO
38%
26%
36%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Basáñez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
PAY
3 - 1
BAS
45%
25%
30%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2006 |
BAS
0 - 0
PLA
47%
26%
27%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
UMO
2 - 2
BAS
49%
25%
26%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
PLA
1 - 1
BAS
38%
27%
35%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
DEP
1 - 0
BAS
64%
21%
16%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |