Durango vs Zapatec FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
38.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
JAG
2 - 1
DUR
50%
24%
27%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2004 |
DUR
1 - 2
CAO
36%
25%
39%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
DUR
1 - 1
UDG
47%
25%
28%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
CAÑ
4 - 2
DUR
75%
16%
9%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2004 |
DUR
2 - 1
ALT
39%
26%
35%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Zapatec FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
ZAP
3 - 0
DOR
23%
24%
53%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2004 |
MEX
4 - 0
ZAP
55%
23%
22%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2004 |
ACA
3 - 0
ZAP
39%
25%
35%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -2 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
ZAP
1 - 2
LEO
32%
25%
44%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2004 |
ORI
1 - 2
ZAP
50%
24%
26%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |