Durango vs Veracruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
35%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
MER
2 - 1
DUR
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
DUR
3 - 1
DOR
42%
26%
32%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
LEO
3 - 1
DUR
65%
21%
14%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
DUR
4 - 2
ALT
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
GUE
0 - 0
DUR
25%
29%
47%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Veracruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
VER
2 - 0
REB
66%
21%
13%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
MER
0 - 1
VER
37%
27%
35%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
VER
3 - 0
ATL
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
DOR
3 - 2
VER
40%
27%
33%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
VER
0 - 0
IRA
50%
26%
25%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |