Durango vs UA Zacatecas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
20.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
CIM
1 - 1
DUR
66%
20%
14%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
DUR
3 - 0
CSL
29%
24%
47%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | +5 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
TEP
4 - 1
DUR
45%
26%
29%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
DUR
1 - 1
MON
26%
24%
50%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
DOR
3 - 2
DUR
67%
20%
14%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
UA Zacatecas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
ZAC
2 - 2
DOR
37%
25%
37%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
MZA
0 - 0
ZAC
72%
18%
11%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
ZAC
2 - 0
SOL
50%
24%
26%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +2 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
REY
0 - 0
ZAC
58%
22%
20%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
ZAC
0 - 0
CHI
59%
20%
21%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |