Durango vs Tijuana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
37.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
GUE
0 - 1
DUR
34%
29%
38%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
DUR
1 - 2
VER
29%
27%
44%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
UDG
1 - 1
DUR
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
DUR
2 - 3
IRA
41%
27%
32%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
NEC
2 - 1
DUR
71%
19%
10%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Tijuana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
TIJ
0 - 1
MER
43%
27%
30%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
GUE
1 - 0
TIJ
21%
26%
53%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
TIJ
3 - 1
ORI
61%
23%
16%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
VER
1 - 1
TIJ
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
TIJ
0 - 1
UAT
50%
27%
23%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |