Durango vs Tijuana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
39.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
LEO
2 - 2
DUR
71%
19%
11%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
DUR
0 - 1
REB
29%
27%
44%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
AGU
2 - 1
DUR
45%
27%
28%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
DUR
1 - 3
CSL
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
DUR
0 - 1
MON
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Tijuana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
TIJ
2 - 0
GUE
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
DOR
2 - 0
TIJ
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
TIJ
2 - 2
QRO
33%
28%
39%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
TEC
1 - 1
TIJ
37%
27%
36%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
TIJ
1 - 0
UDG
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |