Durango vs Tigrillos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
46.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
TRO
3 - 0
DUR
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
DOR
4 - 1
DUR
75%
16%
9%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
DUR
3 - 2
ACA
33%
25%
42%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
LEO
3 - 0
DUR
75%
16%
9%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2003 |
DUR
0 - 3
ORI
43%
25%
32%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Tigrillos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
TIG
2 - 1
DOR
39%
27%
34%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
ACA
0 - 1
TIG
43%
26%
32%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
TIG
2 - 1
LEO
38%
27%
36%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
ORI
0 - 0
TIG
40%
26%
34%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2003 |
TIG
2 - 1
COB
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |