Durango vs Tepatitlán FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
47.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
NEX
1 - 1
DUR
61%
21%
18%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
MUR
2 - 0
DUR
70%
19%
11%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
DUR
1 - 0
REY
43%
26%
31%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +5 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
GUA
2 - 0
DUR
48%
25%
27%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
DUR
2 - 2
NAY
22%
25%
53%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Tepatitlán FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
TEM
4 - 0
PAC
56%
23%
21%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
COR
2 - 0
TEM
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
TEM
1 - 0
GAV
57%
23%
20%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
MON
1 - 2
TEM
43%
26%
31%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +5 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
TEM
2 - 0
LEO
47%
25%
27%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |