Durango vs Tepatitlán FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
49.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
GAV
2 - 0
DUR
71%
18%
11%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
DUR
3 - 2
REY
35%
26%
39%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +3 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
MUR
3 - 0
DUR
54%
24%
23%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
DUR
1 - 1
CSL
31%
25%
44%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
MON
3 - 1
DUR
76%
16%
8%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Tepatitlán FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2017 |
TEM
3 - 2
GUA
53%
23%
24%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2017 |
TIJ
3 - 3
TEM
34%
25%
41%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
TEM
3 - 1
SOL
66%
19%
15%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2017 |
MON
0 - 1
TEM
57%
23%
20%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
TEM
0 - 4
AEM
59%
22%
19%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |