Durango vs Murciélagos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
65.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
MIN
0 - 3
DUR
72%
18%
10%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
DUR
1 - 2
ATS
30%
27%
44%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +2 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
DUR
1 - 3
CHI
23%
26%
51%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
LOR
2 - 0
DUR
85%
11%
4%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
DUR
1 - 2
EST
40%
25%
35%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Murciélagos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
TEM
2 - 1
MUR
31%
25%
44%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
MON
6 - 4
MUR
20%
25%
55%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
MUR
0 - 1
LEO
73%
18%
9%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
TEM
1 - 2
MUR
32%
26%
42%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
MUR
2 - 1
NEX
61%
23%
16%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |