Durango vs Mineros de Fresnillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.3%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.3%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.3%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
6%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2021 |
NAY
0 - 3
DUR
41%
28%
31%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
DUR
2 - 1
LEO
75%
17%
8%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
COL
1 - 0
DUR
33%
29%
38%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
DUR
2 - 0
EST
71%
19%
10%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
MAZ
1 - 1
DUR
24%
29%
46%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Mineros de Fresnillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2021 |
MIN
0 - 4
ZAC
28%
25%
47%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
COR
3 - 0
MIN
40%
24%
36%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
NAY
4 - 0
MIN
63%
22%
16%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
MIN
0 - 3
LEO
53%
24%
23%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -2 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
COL
5 - 0
MIN
57%
23%
20%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |